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20120925
20121003
Search Results 0 to 4 of about 5 (some duplicates have been removed)
at this moment, president obama can count on 243 electoral votes, just 27 shy of the 270 needed to win. romney meanwhile can bank on 191, that leaves 104 votes up for grabs in just eight states, florida, nevada, colorado, wisconsin, ohio, virginia, north carolina, and new hampshire. to win romney would need to win a majority of those battlegrounds and according to recent opinion polls in those states the president is leading or statistically tied with romney, one reason why nate silver's trustee ma mathematical models are predicting november 6th could be a good night for team op puts the president's chances of winning at 86% and mitt romney's a meager 14%. insert romney frowny face here. it is really this buttoned up? i want to go deep into the nate silver mind chamber on this block. it is -- i mean that's a pretty big gap there, 86 to 14. let's speak electorally here. >> sure. >> you're pegging obama with 320.1 electoral votes, up nearly 11 in the last couple weeks or last week, romney at 217.9. 320 is a lot of electoral votes. that would be i think a mandate. >> so -- well i don't know if i
of the economy, which was supposed to be the element of the romney campaign, voters are frustrated with obama, want to vote him out, in the last eight or ten polls on the question of who would be better to handle the economy it's a draw. romney campaign in that issue, that was the reason you were going to win was a draw, i think it's a sign they're recognizing that they're now moving on to foreign policy and trying to exploit openings here. i don't think obama is invulnerable on this stuff but when you look at the broader dynamics i have a hard time seeing how this is going to turn it around that dramatically. >> the situation in libya, we don't know what happened with chris stevens and do know as of -- the the has not had a press conference about it. the last we heard beyond jay carney's pressers, is susan rice saying this is unrelated to the video, a lot of gray matter that surrounds what went down. it makes sense mitt romney would try to exploit that for campaign purposes and because he probably does have questions as many of us do about what exactly went down and whether there was breach
to people that things are bad and thus you're going to vote for the other guy at this point? >> it's really a question of which message is really resonating and in ohio and a lot of these states. in ohio particularly the obama team has pushed the auto rescue, there are a lot of jobs in ohio that were saved by that, and they see that as one of the reasons he's doing so well. the romney team is pushing energy and they still see a vulnerability with coal, for example, but the polls are showing that the auto issue is helping obama certainly more than this energy issue seems to be helping romney. >> it feels like when we look at the number of things both structurally and in terms of the campaign, a real rhee election for president obama is in certain ways overdetermined by the models. it's not the absolute level of economic suffering, it's where, you know, how people feel about how things are going, it's about things moving in the right direction. you have an incumbent versus someone not a current office holder. there's a lot of things that overdetermine the likelihood of president obama winning
Search Results 0 to 4 of about 5 (some duplicates have been removed)

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